Tuesday, May 6, 2008

5/6 Morning News: Game Change Day?

News Items
For Primaries in 2 States, a Variety of Scenarios
It’s almost over.Well, not quite. But the Democratic presidential primaries taking place on Tuesday in North Carolina and Indiana have more delegates up for grabs than any of the remaining contests.
Related Articles:
Politico:
Five things to look for in Indiana ... and in North Carolina
ABC News:
Don't Expect Resolution
ABC News:
Voters anticipating yet another split decision
MSNBC:
Indiana, North Carolina voters go to polls
FirstRead:
Beginning of the End?
TPM:
Today's Primaries Could Change State Of The Race
NYT:
N.C. Voters Line Up Early
The Caucus:
What to Watch For: Indiana, North Carolina Edition
The Caucus:
Open Caucus: A View From Indiana
CBS Horserace:
Starting Gate: Where We Are
CNN:
Voters turn out for what could be Democrats' final round
CNN:
Guide: Indiana primary could be 'tiebreaker'
CNN:
North Carolina guide: Clinton hopes to narrow the gap
CNN:
Indiana and North Carolina — the final round?
FOX:
Indiana, N.C. Voters to Settle Largest Remaining Contests
Charlotte Observer:
What to look for in N.C.

Obama Predicts Close Race in Indiana
"I don't think anybody really knows exactly what's gonna happen. So but as usual, I'm seeing a lot of enthusiasm among the voters. People are just really engaged and excited about this campaign, this process."
Related Articles:
The Hotline:
Obama: "I Feel Good" And "It's Gonna Be Close"
CBS FtR:
Obama: “It’s Going To Be Close”

Another money milestone (Via Politico)
Obama's website says he now has more than 1.5 million individual donors. An Obama aide points out to me that that's larger than the population of 12 states, as well as Estonia, Trinidad & Tobago, Swaziland, Qatar, and Djibouti. They're closing on Latvia. (Note: This is the full entry, hence no link to the Politico article)

Indiana Polls are Open
All eyes, at least in the world of politics, are on Indiana today as polls opened at 6AM. There are no irregularities or problems to report currently, but there were some small hiccups this morning in Marion County–home to the state capital of Indianapolis.

Open Letter From Economists Opposing The Gas Tax Holiday
248 Signers and Counting

Obama's "Electability" Code for Race?
But if Obama was once rubber to Hillary Clinton's glue, his former pastor's inflammatory remarks and his San Francisco gaffe on working class bitterness now are sticking to him—fast—as polls show white blue collar voters harboring serious doubts...

Obama, Clinton face a muddled path, whatever happens tonight
Obama is working the working-class audiences in Indiana and North Carolina hard. But will there be cake on Tuesday? Will the trips to construction sites, breakfasts in union halls, question-and-answer sessions in lighting factories, ... coffee shops and diners pay off...

Obama’s Midnight Oil
From Indiana to North Carolina, pushing the campaign against Clinton.

Who's more red, white and blue-collar?
The presidential race has turned into a riveting competition for ordinariness, as both campaigns have concluded that whoever does a better job of winning over voters...

A North Carolina voter changes with the winds
She was initially drawn to Republican Mike Huckabee but he exited the race long before the presidential primaries came to her state. So she thought Barack Obama was probably the man to get her vote. Then that strange preacher came along and it's no dice.

McCain criticizes Obama for vote against chief justice
Obama likes to talk up his image as someone who works with Republicans to get things done, McCain said. Yet Obama "went right along with the partisan crowd, and was among the 22 senators to vote against this highly qualified nominee," McCain said.
Related Articles:
CBS FtR:
McCain Outlines Judicial Philosophy, Slams Obama

Indiana may feel coattail effect in fall
Politicians who endorsed Obama or Clinton have more at stake than the average voter in today's primary balloting.

Obama's campaign headquarters vandalized
A local campaign office has been vandalized just 24 hours before election day in Indiana. An investigation is underway currently as to who is behind the destruction of Senator Barack Obama's Vincennes campaign headquarters. The vandalism occured sometime Sunday night.

Camps pre-spin their wins
Aides offer conflicting takes on whether it's too late for her to win nomination.

Clinton campaign retools delegate math
Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton's campaign yesterday tried to redefine the delegate math for securing the Democratic presidential nomination, signaling its willingness to wage a divisive battle with front-runner Sen. Barack Obama through the summer.

Nigeria oil rebels say mulling Obama truce appeal
Rebels who have stepped up attacks on Nigeria's oil industry in the last month said on Sunday they were considering a ceasefire appeal by U.S. presidential hopeful Barack Obama.
Related Articles:
Politico:
Obama hadn't intervened in Nigeria, but does today

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Polling Results
Zogby: Obama Expanding Lead In North Carolina, Pulling Ahead In Indiana
The final Zogby tracking polls for today's primaries show Barack Obama expanding his lead in North Carolina, and quite possibly building up steam in Indiana, too.

Rasmussen Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
In the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, Obama has regained some lost ground and now hold a 47% to 43% advantage over Clinton.

Polls: Clinton and Obama each in store for a win?
As voters go to the polls in Indiana and North Carolina, an average of the latest surveys in both states suggests there will be a split decision between Senators Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama...

Poll: Majority of Democrats want Clinton-Obama battle to continue
Sixty percent of Democrats and Democratic-leaning voters surveyed said the nomination fight should continue while 23 percent said Clinton should drop out, 15 percent favored Obama dropping out and 2 percent had no opinion.
Related Articles:
Gallup:
Most Democrats Not Eager for Either Candidate to Drop Out

RCP: Final Polls
With the polls now open in Indiana and North Carolina, here's a glimpse at the final polls.

66% Say Jeremiah Wright Comments Hurt Obama’s Campaign
A Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey found that just 4% of American adults believe that comments made by Barack Obama’s former Pastor have helped Obama’s bid for the White House.

When Compared to McCain, Voters Trust Clinton More than Obama on Five Key Issues
Democrats are trusted more than Republicans on eight out of ten key electoral issues tracked regularly by Rasmussen Reports. However, the numbers change when specific candidates names are included.

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Commentaries
A Barrel of Laughs
Stumper hereby proposes a new way for the good people of Indiana and North Carolina to decide which candidate they prefer: Who delivers a funnier Top Ten list?

Clinton's Fate Hangs In The Balance
If Hillary Rodham Clinton wins in either Indiana or North Carolina Tuesday, the primary election terrain suddenly begins to look more favorable to her than at any other point since Super Tuesday Feb. 5.

The Night Before
Last night, in the heavy, almost summer-like air at dusk, was the first time that I actually felt a sense of history. Voters lined up down more than five avenue blocks to get in to see Obama speak, and these were the ones that didn't have tickets to get into the event.

Combat and Composure
But, as Sunday’s contrast made clear, Obama still seems like a human being. He still seems to return each night to some zone of normalcy where personal reflection lives. ... he doesn’t seem to possess the trait that Clinton has: automatically assuming that critics are always wrong.

Swing Low, Sweet Hillary
Would be first woman president; is being depicted, metaphorically, as a man.

James Carville: Democratic divisions will be hard to bridge (requires registration)
It is not the biographies of the two remaining Democratic candidates, or the number of voters who have been energised by the primary process, but the way in which the rivals are erasing and redrawing the lines of demarcation that exist within the Democratic party.

Michael Carmichael: The Firewall: Obama Wins NC primary
Obama is trouncing Clinton in NC early voting via a new and unanticipated surge in black turnout triggered by the massive media overreaction to the stage-managed appearances of Wright.

Who Will Nominate A Woman To The U.S. Supreme Court?
While we're busy wondering who likes guns more, and who has the most problematic pastor, we ought to put some thought into this.

Zogby Polling: Women Deserting HIllary?
Frankly, it's hard to believe that Hillary has lost the edge in the female vote, but checking the progression over the past few days seems to bear this out. Of course, Zogby's polling sample may be off.

Obama Can De-Bully The Bully Pulpit
I always heard the phrase the Bully Pulpit without hearing the word "bully" in it.

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1 comment:

Anonymous said...

President Obama?
It is getting close to being a reality.
It is not over yet, and we still have a chance to see another President Clinton, although it is a slim chance.
One thing is for sure ...
McCain has no chance.
In fact, every Republican must be shaking in their paid for out of your pocket shoes.
If you think the Republicans took a beating last time, just wait until November!
The brooms are coming out again to sweep up the Republican mess.
I am,

George Vreeland Hill